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July 22, 2026

Are the US and China Headed For a Cold War?

As tensions continue to escalate between the United States and China, experts warn that a “full-on conflict” may be imminent. While the modern Cold War differs from the US-Soviet Union standoff of the 20th century, recent events have caused tensions to soar.

Kervin Aucoin, a 15-year military veteran and owner of private intelligence company Aucoin Analytics, suggests that while the US and China are already in a Cold War, it is much different from the Cold War with the Soviet Union. While Russia attempted to gain power and influence through espionage, China is an economic superpower that uses forms of espionage to gain an economic advantage.

China’s potential for espionage against the US has gained increasing attention, especially after a suspected Chinese spy balloon was shot down in South Carolina on February 4. According to Mr. Aucoin, the balloon incident is just the tip of the iceberg. China is likely attempting to gain an edge in myriad ways, such as infiltrating American universities and political campaigns.

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Moreover, US officials assess that Beijing’s timeline for reunification with Taiwan could mean an invasion by 2025, something that is particularly concerning. China has made it clear that its intention is to invade Taiwan in order to install a pro-Xi regime on the tiny island, a move that could take the US and China from a Cold War to a full-on conflict.

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